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Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Tropical Storm Maria

Most of the Atlantic Basin remains quiet, with the exception of Tropical Storm Maria.
The storm is still anticipated to turn northward in the next day or so, keeping it well off the Florida coastline.
A long-period swell from Maria will keep elevated rip current threats at Central Florida's beaches for the rest of the workweek.
8 p.m. update -- Maria continues moving northward. 
Watches and warnings
A tropical storm warning is in effect for:
  • Bermuda
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the warning area, generally within 36 hours.
48-hour outlook
At 8 p.m., the center of Tropical Storm Maria was located near latitude 23.1 north, longitude 68.0 west.
Maria is moving toward the north near 8 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 to 36 hours with an increase in forward speed. A turn toward the north-northeast is expected on Thursday with a further increase in forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of Maria will pass west of Bermuda on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles, mainly to the east of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb or 29.71 inches.
Hazards affecting land
RAINFALL: Although rains over Puerto Rico have diminished. Maria has likely produced rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches over Puerto Rico, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 to 15 inches. These rains could still cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides over areas of steep terrain. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches can be expected across Bermuda through Thursday morning.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by Wednesday night or early Thursday.

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